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The Continuous 2012 Presidential Election Poll (CPEP) implemented an innovative way to forecast the results of the November 6, 2012, U.S. presidential election. CPEP’s main innovations are that respondents were asked to express their percent chance of voting in the election as well as their percent chance of voting for each candidate and that Your Access Options Log In If you have an individual subscription to this content, or if you have purchased this content through Pay Per Article within the past 24 hours, you can gain access by logging in with your username and password here: “Tom Campbell still confident he can beat Fiorina in primary,” by Jessica Bernstein-Wax. San Jose Mercury News, June 4, 2010.We note that Stone and Abramowitz report empirical analyses that Democratic and Republican party activists in 1980 weighed the competing presidential candidates’ general election prospects more heavily than ideology when choosing a nominee, while Stone and Rapoport $100 on Four More Years On Dec. 19, Nadex, the North American Derivatives Exchange, filed to offer tradable options on major presidential candidates and party control of the U.S. House and U.S Using ANES and CCES 2012 and 2016 presidential election data, I test individual correlates of self-reported major party vote switching for presidential-candidates in both directions.

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